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Red13
12629.2
18853.9
90039.6
Blue77
580424.7
680221.1
108618.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15650204060801001377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9003
#24
9.60.4
7.26.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End2.2
blue by 15.1
24.71.6
19.120.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End2.2
Second
1262
#13
9.20.4
10.510.0
Auto0.6
Teleop5.9
End2.7
blue by 11.9
21.11.6
19.020.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Third
1885
#25
3.90.4
1.71.3
Auto1.6
Teleop1.5
End0.8
blue by 14.0
18.01.6
14.816.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed