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Red95
44921.4
17937.6
949630.2
Blue18
82308.4
90336.8
457512.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55280204060801009518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.21.8
23.225.0
Auto14.0
Teleop15.3
End0.9
red by 18.1
4575
#11
12.10.7
11.110.4
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Second
449
#4
21.41.8
18.620.4
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
red by 13.0
8230
#22
8.40.7
8.37.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Third
1793
#18
7.61.8
4.86.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End0.4
red by 0.8
9033
#23
6.80.7
9.18.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed