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Red40
496719.3
18853.9
44921.4
Blue18
94035.4
61944.9
97713.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53280204060804018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#4
21.41.1
17.015.9
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
red by 7.9
977
#10
13.51.1
11.810.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Second
19.31.1
16.115.0
Auto2.9
Teleop14.8
End1.6
red by 13.9
9403
#17
5.41.1
9.07.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.8
End0.7
Third
1885
#25
3.91.1
11.610.5
Auto1.6
Teleop1.5
End0.8
blue by 1.0
6194
#16
4.91.1
7.26.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed