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Red15
58306.8
90039.6
336111.0
Blue47
680221.1
457512.1
393915.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36381520253040451547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3361
#15
11.02.0
10.78.7
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 10.1
21.11.4
12.213.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Second
9003
#24
9.62.0
10.88.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End2.2
blue by 5.8
15.41.4
12.213.7
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Third
5830
#20
6.82.0
11.29.3
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
blue by 5.3
4575
#11
12.11.4
9.611.1
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed