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Red64
61944.9
680221.1
949630.2
Blue38
17937.6
40125.3
61898.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574420801006438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.2
26.626.8
Auto14.0
Teleop15.3
End0.9
red by 4.9
401
#9
25.30.2
24.824.6
Auto13.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Second
21.10.2
20.320.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.6
End1.9
red by 12.8
6189
#21
8.30.2
9.18.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Third
6194
#16
4.90.2
3.53.7
Auto2.1
Teleop2.3
End0.5
blue by 2.7
1793
#18
7.60.2
7.67.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed