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Red35
572411.9
82308.4
18853.9
Blue40
90336.8
108618.0
58306.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213801030506070803540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#12
11.90.3
12.212.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.9
End1.7
blue by 6.1
18.00.1
17.417.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Second
8230
#22
8.40.3
6.66.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.5
red by 1.6
5830
#20
6.80.1
7.47.4
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Third
1885
#25
3.90.3
2.42.6
Auto1.6
Teleop1.5
End0.8
blue by 2.9
9033
#23
6.80.1
7.27.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed