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Red70
393915.4
580424.7
44921.4
Blue68
90039.6
496719.3
40125.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63522040801007068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.0
22.523.5
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End2.2
blue by 0.6
401
#9
25.31.3
24.625.9
Auto13.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Second
449
#4
21.41.0
18.219.2
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
red by 2.1
19.31.3
16.517.9
Auto2.9
Teleop14.8
End1.6
Third
15.41.0
14.915.8
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End1.3
red by 5.8
9003
#24
9.61.3
6.98.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed