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Red29
61944.9
61898.3
108618.0
Blue80
1418.8
90039.6
162926.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31500204060802980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.1
17.517.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
blue by 8.4
26.40.8
26.227.0
Auto11.2
Teleop14.1
End1.0
Second
6189
#21
8.30.1
8.98.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.5
End1.2
blue by 1.3
9003
#24
9.60.8
8.29.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End2.2
Third
6194
#16
4.90.1
3.73.6
Auto2.1
Teleop2.3
End0.5
blue by 3.9
141
#14
8.80.8
8.59.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned