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Red45
90336.8
496719.3
17937.6
Blue46
572411.9
393915.4
94035.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363801020305060704546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.2
17.918.0
Auto2.9
Teleop14.8
End1.6
red by 3.8
15.40.5
15.815.3
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Second
1793
#18
7.60.2
7.47.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End0.4
blue by 4.3
5724
#12
11.90.5
12.411.9
Auto5.3
Teleop4.9
End1.7
Third
9033
#23
6.80.2
7.37.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End0.5
red by 1.4
9403
#17
5.40.5
5.85.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned