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Red42
40125.3
162926.4
90336.8
Blue43
97713.5
94035.4
457512.1
97%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72280204060801001204243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.4
26.826.4
Auto11.2
Teleop14.1
End1.0
red by 12.8
977
#10
13.50.1
13.413.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Second
401
#9
25.30.4
25.725.3
Auto13.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
red by 13.1
4575
#11
12.10.1
12.012.0
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Third
9033
#23
6.80.4
7.26.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End0.5
red by 1.4
9403
#17
5.40.1
5.35.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.8
End0.7