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Red78
949630.2
82308.4
44921.4
Blue44
393915.4
12629.2
336111.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions653402040801001201407844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.4
28.528.9
Auto14.0
Teleop15.3
End0.9
red by 14.8
15.40.2
15.015.2
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Second
449
#4
21.40.4
19.720.1
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
red by 10.4
3361
#15
11.00.2
10.510.8
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Third
8230
#22
8.40.4
6.97.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 0.8
1262
#13
9.20.2
8.89.0
Auto0.6
Teleop5.9
End2.7