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Red28
445612.0
17937.6
572411.9
Blue65
580424.7
496719.3
61944.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33550204060801001202865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4456
#19
12.00.3
12.412.0
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End1.9
blue by 12.8
24.70.3
24.024.3
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End2.2
Second
5724
#12
11.90.3
12.311.9
Auto5.3
Teleop4.9
End1.7
blue by 7.4
19.30.3
18.618.9
Auto2.9
Teleop14.8
End1.6
Third
1793
#18
7.60.3
8.07.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End0.4
red by 2.7
6194
#16
4.90.3
4.24.5
Auto2.1
Teleop2.3
End0.5