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Red55
393920.8
40122.8
99757.3
Blue1
99967.3
99977.3
99767.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6511050100150200551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End1.3
red by 15.5
9976
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Second
3939
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
red by 13.5
9996
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Third
9975
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Level
9997
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5