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Red51
572419.9
126220.6
99757.3
Blue11
99987.3
264011.3
99767.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions592401001502002503003505111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.2
End3.1
red by 9.3
2640
Unranked
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Second
5724
Unranked
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.5
red by 12.6
9976
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Third
9975
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Level
9998
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5