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Red41
314018.8
97714.3
99757.3
Blue21
99967.3
99977.3
99767.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52131001502002503004121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
Unranked
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.2
End1.0
red by 11.5
9976
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Second
977
Unranked
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End-0.5
red by 7.0
9996
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Third
9975
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Level
9997
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5