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Red0
393920.8
40122.8
99757.3
Blue12
99987.3
264011.3
99767.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6323050100150200250012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End1.3
red by 11.5
2640
Unranked
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Second
3939
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
red by 13.5
9976
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Third
9975
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Level
9998
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5