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Red41
264011.3
393920.8
314018.8
Blue0
99997.3
40122.8
99987.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59370100150200250410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3939
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
blue by 2.0
401
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Second
3140
Unranked
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.2
End1.0
red by 11.5
9998
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Third
2640
Unranked
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End1.2
red by 4.0
9999
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody odds19%Melody odds
Ensemble
10%Ensemble odds5%Ensemble odds