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Red11
99757.3
97714.3
99987.3
Blue2
40122.8
126220.6
99767.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27630204080100120140160112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
Unranked
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End-0.5
blue by 8.5
401
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Second
9975
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
blue by 13.2
1262
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.2
End3.1
Third
9998
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Level
9976
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody odds49%Melody odds
Ensemble
3%Ensemble odds14%Ensemble odds