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Red16
99757.3
99977.3
572419.9
Blue2
99767.3
393920.8
99987.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33400206080100120140160162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
Unranked
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 0.8
3939
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
Second
9975
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Level
9976
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Third
9997
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Level
9998
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody odds20%Melody odds
Ensemble
20%Ensemble odds7%Ensemble odds