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Red13
99977.3
314018.8
99757.3
Blue2
99767.3
393920.8
126220.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29600100150200132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
Unranked
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.2
End1.0
blue by 2.0
3939
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
Second
9975
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
blue by 13.2
1262
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.2
End3.1
Third
9997
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Level
9976
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody odds40%Melody odds
Ensemble
8%Ensemble odds20%Ensemble odds