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Red29
99757.3
314018.8
264011.3
Blue0
99767.3
126220.6
99987.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44380100200300400290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
Unranked
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.2
End1.0
blue by 1.8
1262
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.2
End3.1
Second
2640
Unranked
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End1.2
red by 4.0
9976
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Third
9975
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Level
9998
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody odds15%Melody odds
Ensemble
8%Ensemble odds10%Ensemble odds