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Red25
40122.8
264011.3
126220.6
Blue2
99977.3
99997.3
314018.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6627050100150200250252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End1.3
red by 4.0
3140
Unranked
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.2
End1.0
Second
1262
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.2
End3.1
red by 13.2
9997
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Third
2640
Unranked
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End1.2
red by 4.0
9999
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody odds10%Melody odds
Ensemble
19%Ensemble odds9%Ensemble odds