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Red15
97714.3
572419.9
99757.3
Blue2
99967.3
40122.8
99767.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49400100150200250300152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
Unranked
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 2.9
401
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Second
977
Unranked
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End-0.5
red by 7.0
9976
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Third
9975
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Level
9996
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody odds26%Melody odds
Ensemble
10%Ensemble odds7%Ensemble odds