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Red31
40122.8
126220.6
314018.8
Blue2
393920.8
99997.3
99987.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7433050100150200250300312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End1.3
red by 2.0
3939
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
Second
1262
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.2
End3.1
red by 13.2
9998
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Third
3140
Unranked
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.2
End1.0
red by 11.5
9999
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody odds14%Melody odds
Ensemble
9%Ensemble odds8%Ensemble odds