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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3864020801004975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#5
21.90.8
17.117.8
Auto8.9
Teleop11.3
End1.7
blue by 22.9
44.81.2
37.238.5
Auto20.9
Teleop19.9
End3.9
Second
5587
#12
18.30.8
10.511.3
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
red by 3.4
4821
#21
14.91.2
11.212.4
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Third
1915
#31
8.80.8
9.910.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End0.1
red by 1.7
612
#32
7.11.2
6.17.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed