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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions652204060801004739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.8
21.821.0
Auto6.9
Teleop16.2
End2.5
red by 11.0
9235
#26
14.70.9
11.612.6
Auto6.7
Teleop7.0
End0.9
Second
20.20.8
19.118.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End0.7
red by 10.5
611
#17
9.70.9
9.410.3
Auto2.0
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Third
3373
#19
17.10.8
12.912.1
Auto8.7
Teleop5.3
End3.1
red by 7.8
1885
#18
9.30.9
3.84.7
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed