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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213601030405060703051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9033
#29
10.50.6
6.57.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End0.8
blue by 8.1
4472
#15
18.61.5
17.318.8
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End1.7
Second
8230
#30
10.50.6
8.38.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.2
blue by 1.2
2028
#11
11.61.3
8.49.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Third
2900
#27
6.80.6
5.76.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.8
blue by 3.1
5243
#23
9.91.3
5.26.5
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed