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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13680204060801001202876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#24
12.90.3
10.610.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
blue by 11.9
401
#13
24.81.4
25.126.6
Auto11.9
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Second
623
#22
11.40.3
3.93.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End2.0
blue by 10.5
122
#5
21.91.4
15.617.1
Auto8.9
Teleop11.3
End1.7
Third
2912
#33
6.00.3
4.13.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.0
blue by 14.8
620
#6
20.81.4
13.915.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed