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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43362060806137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
619
#20
21.81.4
16.618.0
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End2.0
red by 4.6
3373
#19
17.10.3
12.712.9
Auto8.7
Teleop5.3
End3.1
Second
9235
#26
14.71.4
10.311.6
Auto6.7
Teleop7.0
End0.9
blue by 0.2
4821
#21
14.90.3
10.911.2
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Third
2186
#16
14.61.4
11.512.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End2.0
red by 5.8
1915
#31
8.80.3
9.69.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed