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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29670204060801001205769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#8
23.51.8
16.518.2
Auto10.0
Teleop10.7
End2.8
blue by 21.2
44.80.9
36.437.2
Auto20.9
Teleop19.9
End3.9
Second
5587
#12
18.31.8
8.710.5
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
red by 2.4
116
#14
15.91.0
11.112.1
Auto7.6
Teleop6.6
End1.8
Third
2421
#25
14.21.8
5.57.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End2.0
red by 4.4
611
#17
9.70.9
8.59.4
Auto2.0
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed