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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255902040802862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.1
9.49.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End2.8
blue by 8.1
26.80.5
22.222.7
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End6.4
Second
8590
#28
11.40.1
8.58.6
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End1.8
blue by 14.2
25.60.5
21.221.8
Auto6.9
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Third
3359
#34
9.50.1
9.09.1
Auto4.7
Teleop3.3
End1.5
red by 2.4
612
#32
7.10.5
5.56.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned