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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195004060802252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.40.0
5.85.7
Auto2.1
Teleop7.7
End2.6
blue by 9.5
122
#5
21.90.7
14.915.6
Auto8.9
Teleop11.3
End1.7
Second
5243
#23
9.90.0
5.35.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
blue by 7.3
3373
#19
17.10.7
11.912.7
Auto8.7
Teleop5.3
End3.1
Third
1915
#31
8.80.0
9.79.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End0.1
blue by 7.6
5549
#10
16.40.7
14.415.1
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed