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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2462040801004049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4821
#21
14.90.3
10.710.9
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End1.7
blue by 9.9
401
#13
24.80.1
25.325.1
Auto11.9
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Second
9235
#26
14.70.3
10.010.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.0
End0.9
blue by 3.9
4472
#15
18.60.2
17.517.3
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End1.7
Third
2421
#25
14.20.3
5.25.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End2.0
red by 3.7
8230
#30
10.50.1
8.48.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed