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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165504060801756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
#14
15.90.2
11.311.1
Auto7.6
Teleop6.6
End1.8
blue by 9.7
25.60.6
20.721.2
Auto6.9
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Second
1885
#18
9.30.2
3.93.8
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End1.2
blue by 14.2
539
#8
23.50.6
15.916.5
Auto10.0
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Third
2912
#33DQ
6.00.2
4.24.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.0
blue by 12.7
18.70.6
8.89.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned