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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6618040801001209527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.82.8
33.636.4
Auto20.9
Teleop19.9
End3.9
red by 32.3
12.40.4
5.45.8
Auto2.1
Teleop7.7
End2.6
Second
619
#20
21.82.8
13.916.6
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End2.0
red by 10.2
2028
#11
11.60.4
8.18.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Third
3359
#34
9.52.8
6.29.0
Auto4.7
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 1.9
8590
#28
11.40.4
8.28.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed