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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42552030506070804257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#6
20.80.1
14.013.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.8
blue by 6.0
26.80.6
21.622.2
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End6.4
Second
5549
#10
16.40.1
14.514.4
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End0.7
blue by 3.8
20.20.7
18.519.1
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End0.7
Third
339
#24
12.90.1
10.710.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
blue by 5.4
5587
#12
18.30.6
8.18.7
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed