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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3843102030506070805057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#15
18.60.9
18.819.7
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End1.7
blue by 5.0
539
#8
23.51.3
18.219.5
Auto10.0
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Second
9033
#29
10.50.9
7.18.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End0.8
blue by 10.3
620
#6
20.81.3
15.316.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.8
Third
3359
#34
9.50.9
9.19.9
Auto4.7
Teleop3.3
End1.5
red by 0.2
1885
#18
9.31.3
4.76.0
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed