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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56472040801003539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#13
24.81.0
26.625.6
Auto11.9
Teleop11.2
End1.7
blue by 2.0
26.81.0
22.721.8
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End6.4
Second
2186
#16
14.61.0
12.911.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End2.0
blue by 1.8
5549
#10
16.41.0
15.114.1
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Third
339
#24
12.91.0
10.39.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
red by 0.5
12.41.0
5.74.8
Auto2.1
Teleop7.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsEarned