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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334002060801001204877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
619
#20
21.80.5
18.018.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End2.0
red by 1.6
20.21.3
18.319.7
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End0.7
Second
5243
#23
9.90.5
6.57.0
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
blue by 8.8
18.71.3
9.510.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End2.8
Third
2900
#27
6.80.5
6.36.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.8
blue by 7.4
2421
#25
14.21.3
7.28.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed