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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35850206010012014029114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#15
18.61.2
19.718.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End1.7
blue by 26.2
44.81.9
38.540.4
Auto20.9
Teleop19.9
End3.9
Second
1915
#31
8.81.2
10.79.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End0.1
blue by 16.8
25.61.9
21.022.9
Auto6.9
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Third
612
#32
7.11.2
7.36.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End1.7
blue by 11.2
5587
#12
18.31.9
11.313.1
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed