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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48280204060806042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#8
23.51.3
19.520.8
Auto10.0
Teleop10.7
End2.8
red by 7.6
116
#14
15.90.6
12.713.3
Auto7.6
Teleop6.6
End1.8
Second
3373
#19
17.11.3
12.113.4
Auto8.7
Teleop5.3
End3.1
red by 4.7
12.40.6
4.85.3
Auto2.1
Teleop7.7
End2.6
Third
8230
#30
10.51.3
9.010.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.2
red by 0.9
3359
#34
9.50.6
9.910.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed