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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424602060806058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#6
20.81.1
16.617.7
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.8
blue by 6.0
26.81.1
21.822.9
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End6.4
Second
2186
#16
14.61.1
11.913.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End2.0
blue by 0.1
9235
#26
14.71.1
12.613.7
Auto6.7
Teleop7.0
End0.9
Third
611
#17
9.71.1
10.311.4
Auto2.0
Teleop6.2
End1.6
blue by 0.2
5243
#23
9.91.1
7.08.1
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed