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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264202060801004748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4821
#21
14.91.3
12.413.7
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End1.7
blue by 5.3
20.20.2
19.719.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End0.7
Second
8590
#28
11.41.3
8.710.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End1.8
blue by 1.5
339
#24
12.90.2
9.49.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Third
623
#22
11.41.3
4.35.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End2.0
red by 4.6
2900
#27
6.80.2
6.86.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed