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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5520040801003929

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#13
24.80.4
25.625.1
Auto11.9
Teleop11.2
End1.7
red by 13.2
2028
#11
11.60.2
10.410.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Second
5549
#10
16.40.4
14.113.7
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End0.7
red by 5.9
9033
#29
10.50.2
8.07.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End0.8
Third
1885
#18
9.30.4
6.05.5
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End1.2
red by 3.4
2912
#33
6.00.2
3.93.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed