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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49340204060801007043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
619
#20
21.81.6
18.520.0
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End2.0
blue by 0.1
122
#5
21.90.7
17.818.5
Auto8.9
Teleop11.3
End1.7
Second
18.71.6
10.812.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End2.8
red by 4.5
2421
#25
14.20.7
8.69.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Third
3373
#19
17.11.6
13.415.0
Auto8.7
Teleop5.3
End3.1
red by 10.0
612
#32
7.10.7
6.16.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed