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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63452040801007537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.81.3
40.441.7
Auto20.9
Teleop19.9
End3.9
red by 19.1
25.60.4
22.922.5
Auto6.9
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Second
339
#24
12.91.3
9.210.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
blue by 3.0
116
#14
15.90.4
13.312.9
Auto7.6
Teleop6.6
End1.8
Third
12.41.3
5.36.7
Auto2.1
Teleop7.7
End2.6
red by 5.6
2900
#27
6.80.4
6.66.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed