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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403920305060703443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5587
#12
18.30.1
13.113.1
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 1.9
20.20.1
19.519.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End0.7
Second
611
#17
9.70.1
11.411.3
Auto2.0
Teleop6.2
End1.6
blue by 6.7
5549
#10
16.40.1
13.713.8
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Third
3359
#34
9.50.1
10.510.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.3
End1.5
red by 3.6
2912
#33
6.00.1
3.63.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed