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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573920801005143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#6
20.80.1
17.717.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.8
blue by 1.0
619
#20
21.80.2
20.020.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End2.0
Second
4472
#15
18.60.1
18.418.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End1.7
red by 7.1
8590
#28
11.40.2
10.010.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End1.8
Third
9235
#26
14.70.1
13.713.6
Auto6.7
Teleop7.0
End0.9
red by 4.2
9033
#29
10.50.2
7.88.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed