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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions832802040601001201407930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.7
22.923.6
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End6.4
red by 8.1
18.70.1
12.412.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End2.8
Second
401
#13
24.80.7
25.125.8
Auto11.9
Teleop11.2
End1.7
red by 14.4
8230
#30
10.50.1
10.310.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Third
539
#8
23.50.7
20.821.4
Auto10.0
Teleop10.7
End2.8
red by 14.7
1915
#31
8.80.1
9.49.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed