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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392902060804843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#5
21.90.9
18.519.5
Auto8.9
Teleop11.3
End1.7
red by 7.3
2186
#16
14.60.6
13.013.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End2.0
Second
2028
#11
11.60.9
10.211.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End1.3
blue by 2.6
2421
#25
14.20.6
9.39.9
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Third
1885
#18
9.30.9
5.56.4
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End1.2
blue by 2.1
623
#22
11.40.6
5.66.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed